🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?

Resolved :Yes53%
8
58
Total Forecasters113
Community Prediction53% (46% - 57%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 53%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
25.8
Community Peer Score
5.6
Authors:
AABoyles
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Metaculus
2021 Leaderboard
Scott Alexander

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