Question

When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction2028-05-12 (2026-04-09 - 2031-04-24)

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

>2039-12-30

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2026-04-09 12:07

2028-05-12 12:14

2031-04-24 05:49

4.3%

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Authors:

jzima

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Assad: Russia Forced My Evacuation After Insurgent Takeover of Damascus

•Dec 18, 2024

At last, a figure has emerged who could wrench power from Viktor Orbán in Hungary | Viktória Serdült

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Georgia’s outgoing president urges EU to use more leverage to back protesters

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

2029-04-07

Comments

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Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Assad: Russia Forced My Evacuation After Insurgent Takeover of Damascus

•Dec 18, 2024

At last, a figure has emerged who could wrench power from Viktor Orbán in Hungary | Viktória Serdült

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Georgia’s outgoing president urges EU to use more leverage to back protesters

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

2029-04-07

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When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?

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Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

Comments

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?