Question

When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction2028-07-12 (2026-05-08 - 2031-07-18)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2039-12-30

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2026-05-08 04:30

2028-07-12 21:59

2031-07-18 20:27

4.5%

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Feb 18, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Belarus election is poised to extend the 30-year rule of ‘Europe’s last dictator’

Associated Press•Jan 24, 2025

What to Know About the Election in Belarus

Time•Jan 24, 2025

Belarus election is poised to extend the 30-year rule of 'Europe's last dictator'

NBC•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

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2029-04-01

Comments

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Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Feb 18, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Belarus election is poised to extend the 30-year rule of ‘Europe’s last dictator’

Associated Press•Jan 24, 2025

What to Know About the Election in Belarus

Time•Jan 24, 2025

Belarus election is poised to extend the 30-year rule of 'Europe's last dictator'

NBC•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

40%

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

2029-04-01