Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?

Resolved :84.4

2 comments2

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction84.5

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>90

...

83.61

84.48

85.64

1.3%

What was the final result?84.4

Community Baseline Score

29.3

Community Peer Score

21.4

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

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Forecasting AI Progress

AI Technical Benchmarks

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

Artificial Intelligence

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

207

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