Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2023-02-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

Resolved :86.189.3

6 comments6

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction89.3 (86.4 - 91)

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CDF

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>91

...

86.37

89.27

>91

31.4%

What was the final result?86.1

Community Baseline Score

-12.4

Community Peer Score

21.0

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Feb 14, 2021

Closes:

Apr 14, 2021

Resolves:

Feb 15, 2023

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What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?

91.9

What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?

204

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