Question

What will the highest score of any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge be on 2023-02-14?

Resolved:43.791k
Community Prediction43.8k408k772k1.14M1.5MFeb 17Feb 21Feb 25Mar 01Mar 05Mar 09Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 02Apr 06Apr 10Apr 14now
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
1.08M
(137k - 1.5M)

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CDF

43.8k408k772k1.14M1.5M
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%137.4k
median1.084M
upper 75%>1.5M
Upper bound
>1.5M38.9%

What was the final result?43.791k

Community Baseline Score
156.4
Community Peer Score
28.3
Opened:Feb 13, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2021
Resolves:Feb 14, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 15, 2021

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