Question

How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

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Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction14.4k (8.37k - 23.4k)

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<500

lower 25%

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upper 75%

>500k

...

0.3%

8.374k

14.37k

23.4k

0.2%

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Forecasting AI Progress

AI Progress Essay Contest

AI Safety

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Which AI Companies Are the Safest—and Least Safe?

Time•Dec 13, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

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How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?

6.97k

How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

8.41k

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

34.8k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forecasting AI Progress

AI Progress Essay Contest

AI Safety

Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Which AI Companies Are the Safest—and Least Safe?

Time•Dec 13, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Ilya Sutskever Warns A.I. Is Running Out of Data—Here’s What Will Happen Next

Observer (NY)•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?

6.97k

How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

8.41k

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

34.8k

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How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

Make a Prediction

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?

How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

Comments

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?

How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?

How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?

How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?

How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?

How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?