Question
How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?
Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction14.4k (8.37k - 23.4k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <500 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 8.374k | — |
| median | 14.37k | — |
| upper 75% | 23.4k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >500k | 0.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 15, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 13, 2031
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Feb 15, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 13, 2031
