Question
How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
14.4k e-prints
(8.47k - 23.4k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <500 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 8.469k | — |
| median | 14.42k | — |
| upper 75% | 23.35k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >500k | 0.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Feb 15, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 13, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 15, 2021
Closes:Apr 14, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 13, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2021
