Question

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

39 comments39

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction2060-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2499-12

...

2039-06

2060-05

2189-09

17.4%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Longevity escape velocity

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

43%

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

90%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Longevity escape velocity

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

2066-02

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

43%

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

90%

MetaculusM

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When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Make a Prediction

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

Comments

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?