Question

How many members will Giving What We Can have on 2029-11-15, its 20th anniversary?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction21.5k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<3k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>150k

...

0.8%

15.1k

21.54k

31.09k

1.5%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Giving What We Can

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

79%

What fraction of High Impact Athletes pledge-takers will maintain it on January 1, 2025?

0.773

How many people will take the EA survey in 2025?

2.96k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Giving What We Can

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Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

79%

What fraction of High Impact Athletes pledge-takers will maintain it on January 1, 2025?

0.773

How many people will take the EA survey in 2025?

2.96k