Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Question

How many members will Giving What We Can have on 2029-11-15, its 20th anniversary?

Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction21.5k (15.1k - 31.1k)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<3k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>150k
...
...
...
...
...
0.8%
15.1k
21.54k
31.09k
1.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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