Question

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction62%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 62.2%

median 62.2%mean 62.2%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Medicine

A Family Reckons with a Father’s Wish to Be Preserved Using Cryonics in “Eternal Father”

New Yorker•Oct 29, 2024

After reports that organs were nearly removed from man mistakenly declared dead, organ donation programs impacted

CBS•Oct 29, 2024

A.I. Unicorns Have Good Reasons Not to Go Public

Observer (NY)•Oct 29, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7.4e-1

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?

121k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Medicine

A Family Reckons with a Father’s Wish to Be Preserved Using Cryonics in “Eternal Father”

New Yorker•Oct 29, 2024

After reports that organs were nearly removed from man mistakenly declared dead, organ donation programs impacted

CBS•Oct 29, 2024

A.I. Unicorns Have Good Reasons Not to Go Public

Observer (NY)•Oct 29, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7.4e-1

What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?

121k