Question

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction83% (75.9% - 87%)

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50%

community: 83%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

Cryonics Institute

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

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Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

62.2%

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Technology

Cryonics Institute

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Party City Faces Second Bankruptcy Filing in Less Than Two Years

•Dec 22, 2024

Here are 12 well-known companies that went bankrupt in 2024

CNN•Dec 22, 2024

The Container Store files for bankruptcy

CNN•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

62.2%

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

0.74

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

Make a Prediction

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Comments

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?