Question

When will the first use of accurate lie detection in court case occur?

24 comments24

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction2058-01

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12

...

2042-03

2058-01

2097-11

24.1%

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Natural Sciences

Neuroscience

Brain–computer interface

Lie detection

Artificial intelligence

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

7.73

When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?

2040-11

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

2079-07

Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Natural Sciences

Neuroscience

Brain–computer interface

Lie detection

Artificial intelligence

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

7.73

When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?

2040-11

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

2079-07

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When will the first use of accurate lie detection in court case occur?

Make a Prediction

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

Comments

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?