Question

If the federal minimum wage is greater than $10 and less than $15, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction59.5 (58.8 - 60.2)

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	<50	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>65
community	0.1%	58.83	59.53	60.24	0.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<50	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	58.83	—
median	59.53	—
upper 75%	60.24	—
Upper bound
>65	0.4%	—

Authors:

avpx

Opened:

Feb 21, 2021

Closed:

Jan 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Initiative on Global Markets

University of Chicago

United States

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