Question

Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?

Resolved :Yes95%

12 comments12

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction95% (92% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

77.3

Community Peer Score

5.8

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Feb 19, 2021

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2021

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

Donald Trump will huff and he’ll puff, but if Europe’s leaders rise to its defence, their house will stand | Simon Tisdall

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

The growing wealth gap between Britain and the US

Spectator (UK)•Jan 27, 2025

Alarmists Predict 246,082 Deaths in Barcelona from Climate Change

Breitbart•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Feb 19, 2021

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2021

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

Donald Trump will huff and he’ll puff, but if Europe’s leaders rise to its defence, their house will stand | Simon Tisdall

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

The growing wealth gap between Britain and the US

Spectator (UK)•Jan 27, 2025

Alarmists Predict 246,082 Deaths in Barcelona from Climate Change

Breitbart•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k