Question

Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?

Resolved :Yes35%

63 comments63

Total Forecasters84

Community Prediction35% (28% - 47%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-3.1

Community Beer Score

9.7

Authors:

citizen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

US House of Representatives

Expulsion

Censure in the United States

Reprimand

Republican Issues Ultimatum to GOP House Leadership

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Republican House Majority in Peril

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

About Face: House Ethics Committee Changes Mind on Gaetz Report

Red State•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

0.4%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

citizen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

US House of Representatives

Expulsion

Censure in the United States

Reprimand

Republican Issues Ultimatum to GOP House Leadership

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Republican House Majority in Peril

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

About Face: House Ethics Committee Changes Mind on Gaetz Report

Red State•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

0.4%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

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MetaculusM

Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Comments

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?