Question
When will the number of functional artificial satellites in orbit exceed 5,000?
Resolved :Feb 2022Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
Aug 2022
(May 2022 - Dec 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | May 2022 | — |
| median | Aug 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >183029760000% | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?Feb 2022
Community Baseline Score
9.0
Community Peer Score
0.5
Authors:
Opened:May 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Resolves:Dec 31, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Resolves:Dec 31, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2021
