Question

How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-07-01?

Resolved :370M320M

7 comments7

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction320M (276M - 362M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1B

...

0.1%

276M

320.2M

362.1M

0.5%

What was the final result?370M

Community Baseline Score

52.3

Community Peer Score

14.7

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Authors:

faz

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

EU signs $11B deal for sovereign satellite constellation to rival Musk’s Starlink

TechCrunch•Dec 16, 2024

EU to spend nearly €11 billion for secure alternative to Musk's Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Here’s why the EU is spending $11B to compete with Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

faz

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

EU signs $11B deal for sovereign satellite constellation to rival Musk’s Starlink

TechCrunch•Dec 16, 2024

EU to spend nearly €11 billion for secure alternative to Musk's Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Here’s why the EU is spending $11B to compete with Starlink

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%