Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

How correlated will progress be across subfields of AI as determined by Metaculus between 2021 to 2025?

10
15
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction0.156 (0.053 - 0.298)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.05298
0.1558
0.2977
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jacob.pfau
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Pearson correlation coefficient
Philosophy
Artificial general intelligence

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