Question

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction7.73 (1.4 - 14.6)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	1.402	7.726	14.56
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	1.402	—
median	7.726	—
upper 75%	14.56	—

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Mar 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 29, 2070

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 29, 2070

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

United Kingdom

The AI Future Is Here

Scientific American•Mar 4, 2025

Out of Order: Lawyers Face Sanctions for Relying on Fake AI-Generated Case Citations

Breitbart•Mar 5, 2025

The Robots Are Coming for Your Job Sooner Than You Think: AI Researcher

Newsweek•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

2.8

What % of current workers will be replaced by AI systems performing end-to-end labor in 2030?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

15%

Comments

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Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Mar 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 29, 2070

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 29, 2070

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

United Kingdom

The AI Future Is Here

Scientific American•Mar 4, 2025

Out of Order: Lawyers Face Sanctions for Relying on Fake AI-Generated Case Citations

Breitbart•Mar 5, 2025

The Robots Are Coming for Your Job Sooner Than You Think: AI Researcher

Newsweek•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

2.8

What % of current workers will be replaced by AI systems performing end-to-end labor in 2030?

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

15%