Question

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction7.73 (1.4 - 14.6)

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CDF

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

1.402

7.726

14.56

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Mar 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 29, 2070

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 29, 2070

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

United Kingdom

Office Pool 2025

Consortium News•Jan 26, 2025

A vision of sport in 2050: robot leagues, chips in brains and players in their 50s

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

Predicting the future in 1999: Tech predictions 25 years on

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

2.8

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

52%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Mar 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 29, 2070

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 29, 2070

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

United Kingdom

Office Pool 2025

Consortium News•Jan 26, 2025

A vision of sport in 2050: robot leagues, chips in brains and players in their 50s

Guardian•Jan 26, 2025

Predicting the future in 1999: Tech predictions 25 years on

Independent•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

2.8

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

52%