Question

Will Northern Ireland hold a reunification referendum before 2030?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction22%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 22%

median 22.0%mean 21.9%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Northern Ireland Act 1998

Secretary of State for Northern Ireland

Republic of Ireland

United Kingdom

Northern Ireland

Good Friday Agreement

Will Ireland and Northern Ireland reunite before the following years?

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will the Republic of Ireland abandon the policy of military neutrality before 2030?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Northern Ireland Act 1998

Secretary of State for Northern Ireland

Republic of Ireland

United Kingdom

Northern Ireland

Good Friday Agreement

Could Streeting’s smoking ban breach Brexit terms?

Spectator (UK)•Nov 10, 2024

Michael O’Neill wants more progress – Northern Ireland v Belarus talking points

Independent•Nov 15, 2024

Northern Ireland edge closer to Nations League promotion with Belarus win

Independent•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ireland and Northern Ireland reunite before the following years?

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will the Republic of Ireland abandon the policy of military neutrality before 2030?

22%