Question

Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?

Resolved :No21%

15 comments15

Total Forecasters86

Community Prediction21% (15% - 29%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 21%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-12.1

Community Peer Score

11.2

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

COVID-19 vaccine

United States

Biden administration has no current plans to authorize a bird flu vaccine for humans

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Biden gives Pfizer and Moderna shield from being sued for Covid vaccine injuries and deaths until 2029

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

How Trump's 'big discussion' around vaccines and autism could hurt children's health

USA Today•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

COVID-19 vaccine

United States

Biden administration has no current plans to authorize a bird flu vaccine for humans

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Biden gives Pfizer and Moderna shield from being sued for Covid vaccine injuries and deaths until 2029

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

How Trump's 'big discussion' around vaccines and autism could hurt children's health

USA Today•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

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Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?