M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

13
0
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

community: 15%
median 15.0%mean 18.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Technology
Seasteading
French Polynesia
Phuket Province
Thailand
Panama

Comments

? comments