Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

13
0
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction15% (8% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Technology
Seasteading
French Polynesia
Phuket Province
Thailand
Panama

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