Question

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

no comments0

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction12% (8% - 19%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 6, 2021

Closes:

Apr 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

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Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

11%

When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?

2060-04-24

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 100,000 or more inhabitants before 2050?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 6, 2021

Closes:

Apr 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Nauru, a tiny Pacific country, is selling citizenship for $105,000 to save itself from rising seas

CNN•Mar 5, 2025

Residential cruise ship plans to be the next 'blue zone'

New York Post•Mar 5, 2025

Nauru’s Golden Visa: Climate Lifeline Or Controversial Travel Sale?

Forbes•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

11%

When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?

2060-04-24

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 100,000 or more inhabitants before 2050?

60%

MetaculusM

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 100,000 or more inhabitants before 2050?

Comments

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?

Will any modern artificial island reach a population of 100,000 or more inhabitants before 2050?

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