Question

Will there be a prominent platform for facilitating dominant assurance contracts before 2035?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction72.3% (55% - 83%)

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50%

community: 72.3%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

A New Social is a new non-profit that wants to help bridge platforms

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Debanking, Deplatforming, and $480 Billion At Stake

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

Despite Being Flush, Avalanche Raises $250 Million From Galaxy And Others

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

2.5%

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Will "Krantz data" play a critical role in the alignment of artificial superintelligence before 2100?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

A New Social is a new non-profit that wants to help bridge platforms

Verge•Dec 18, 2024

Debanking, Deplatforming, and $480 Billion At Stake

Forbes•Dec 18, 2024

Despite Being Flush, Avalanche Raises $250 Million From Galaxy And Others

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

2.5%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will there be a prominent platform for facilitating dominant assurance contracts before 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Will "Krantz data" play a critical role in the alignment of artificial superintelligence before 2100?

Comments

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Will "Krantz data" play a critical role in the alignment of artificial superintelligence before 2100?

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Will "Krantz data" play a critical role in the alignment of artificial superintelligence before 2100?

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Will "Krantz data" play a critical role in the alignment of artificial superintelligence before 2100?