Question

Will there be a prominent platform for facilitating dominant assurance contracts before 2035?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction72.3% (55% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 72.3%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 6, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Government contractors say DOGE brings both opportunity and uncertainty to the industry: 'We are a little scared'

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Government contractors say DOGE brings both opportunity and uncertainty to the industry: 'We are a little scared'

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63%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 6, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Government contractors say DOGE brings both opportunity and uncertainty to the industry: 'We are a little scared'

Business Insider•Jan 23, 2025

Government contractors say DOGE brings both opportunity and uncertainty to the industry: 'We are a little scared'

Business Insider•Jan 23, 2025

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Forbes•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

Will "Krantz data" play a critical role in the alignment of artificial superintelligence before 2100?

Before 2030, will a foundation-model-based AI system make $50M in realized profits from not more than $1M of traditional investments and trades?

63%