Question

Will a large American city fully abolish their police department before 2035?

32 comments32

Total Forecasters144

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 4.0%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Problem of Political Authority

Durham, North Carolina

United States

Australia women's national soccer team

Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

63%

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Problem of Political Authority

Durham, North Carolina

United States

Australia women's national soccer team

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Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?

63%

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%