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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

When will an open-source AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

39
67
Total Forecasters281
Community Prediction2026-07

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12
...
...
...
2025-03
2026-07
2028-10
1.0%
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
International Mathematical Olympiad

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