Question

Will the US experience a 4th wave of COVID before June 1, 2021?

Resolved :No55%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction55% (47% - 63%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

5.4

Community Peer Score

11.8

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

taskaryan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID Update: Map Reveals States at Greatest Risk As Christmas Nears

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

COVID Map Update Reveals Most Active States for Virus Ahead of Christmas

Newsweek•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

75%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

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