M

Question

When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?

Resolved :Above upper bound2021-08-26
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction2021-08-26 (2021-07-08 - 2021-10-26)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2021-12-29
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2021-07-08 17:51
2021-08-26 16:51
2021-10-26 18:39
11.3%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
54.9
Community Peer Score
80.2
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