Question
When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?
Resolved :Above upper bound2021-08-26Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction2021-08-26 (2021-07-08 - 2021-10-26)
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CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2021-12-29
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2021-07-08 17:51
2021-08-26 16:51
2021-10-26 18:39
11.3%
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
54.9
Community Peer Score
80.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2021
Closes:May 2, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2021
Closes:May 2, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
