Question

Will Brazil have a 7-day rolling average above 2,000 COVID-19 deaths before 1 June 2021?

Resolved :Yes97%

11 comments11

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction97% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

44.2

Community Peer Score

8.8

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Mellaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

At least 30 dead after crash between a passenger bus and a truck in Brazil

CBS•Dec 21, 2024

30 people die in a crash between a passenger bus and a truck in Brazil

Associated Press•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

How much greenhouse gas will Brazil emit in 2030, in CO2e tonnes?

1.14B

Will Brazil reach net zero deforestation before 2031?

20%

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