Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?

17
6
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction2035-07-10 (2030-09-27 - 2040-10-14)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<2025-03-06
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-01-01
...
...
...
...
...
3.0%
2030-09-27 21:22
2035-07-10 11:12
2040-10-14 17:52
0.4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
TOP500
ISC High Performance
IEEE Supercomputing Conference
LINPACK benchmarks
Software engineering

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