Question

Will there be a cease-fire or peace agreement in the Yemeni Civil War in 2021?

Resolved :No22%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction22% (16% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

39.4

Community Peer Score

5.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2021 Series

Yemeni Civil War (2015–present)

Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi

Linda Thomas-Greenfield

Negotiators say Israel and Hamas are inching toward a ceasefire deal. This is what it may look like

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Israeli and Hamas Officials Say a Hostage Deal Is Close

AntiWar•Dec 17, 2024

Gaza War Ceasefire Talks Progress, Hamas 'Positive and Optimistic'

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

53%

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

2025-11-18

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