Question

Will China's internment camps for Uyghurs remain open on January 1, 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous

19 comments19

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 99.0%mean 97.4%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2021 Series

Geopolitics

Xinjiang re-education camps

Chen Quanguo

China

Amnesty International

Human Rights Watch

Uyghurs

Xinjiang

Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

25%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Future Perfect 2021 Series

Geopolitics

Xinjiang re-education camps

Chen Quanguo

China

Amnesty International

Human Rights Watch

Uyghurs

Xinjiang

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US bans new types of goods from China over allegations of forced labor

Associated Press•Oct 3, 2024

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Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

25%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

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Will China's internment camps for Uyghurs remain open on January 1, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Comments

Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China perform large-scale forced reproduction before 2051?

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?