Question

When will the first autonomous, road legal, human carrying motorcycle be sold in the United States?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2044-03-17

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2074-12-25

...

2035-04-02 20:49

2044-03-17 10:39

2059-02-09 08:26

11.3%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10-09

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-04-03

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

92%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Royal Enfield To Enter Electric Moto Market With ‘Flying Flea’ Urban Bike

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

Tesla stock surges as Trump plans to make it easier to get self-driving cars on the road

Daily Mail•Nov 19, 2024

Tesla Bot Action Figure sells out, is now listed for up to $1,300 on resale sites

USA Today•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10-09

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-04-03

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

92%