Question

When will the first autonomous, road legal, human carrying motorcycle be sold in the United States?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2044-03

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2074-12

...

2035-04

2044-03

2059-02

11.3%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-08

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Cybertruck Finally Gets Full Self-Driving (Supervised)

Wired•Oct 1, 2024

Waymo begins offering robotaxi rides in Austin to certain members of the public

TechCrunch•Oct 2, 2024

After a decade of Elon Musk promising Tesla robotaxis, here’s what we know

CNBC•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

2037-08

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

22%

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When will the first autonomous, road legal, human carrying motorcycle be sold in the United States?

Make a Prediction

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Comments

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?