Question

When will a 1M-population country adopt Universal Basic Income?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction2035-11-05

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01-01

...

2029-08-18 07:34

2035-11-05 21:39

2049-04-15 21:06

7.2%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Earned income tax credit

Great Depression in the US

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Earned income tax credit

Great Depression in the US

Will The U.S. Finally Admit That Personal Economics Is A Big Problem?

Forbes•Nov 15, 2024

2 maps show how Americans rely on income like Social Security more than they used to

Business Insider•Nov 15, 2024

Bhutan, after prioritizing happiness, now faces an existential crisis

CBS•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

20%