Question

When will a 1M-population country adopt Universal Basic Income?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction2035-11

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-01

...

2029-08

2035-11

2049-04

7.2%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Earned income tax credit

Great Depression in the US

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

16%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Earned income tax credit

Great Depression in the US

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

16%

MetaculusM

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When will a 1M-population country adopt Universal Basic Income?

Make a Prediction

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

Comments

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → Date 1M-population country adopts UBI

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?