Question

Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?

28 comments28

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction96.4

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

76.4

96.41

99.12

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Democracy Index

European Union

Democratic Left Alliance

Right-wing politics

Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

59%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom leave the European Union, before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Democracy Index

European Union

Democratic Left Alliance

Right-wing politics

Across the west, the right is rebranding itself as champions of the common folk. Will it work in Australia? | Peter Lewis

Guardian•Oct 8, 2024

On the streets of Vienna, I saw Austrians’ rage at the march of the far right – but also their helplessness | Owen Jones

Guardian•Oct 8, 2024

Voting in the UK and French elections taught me a concerning lesson that Americans should heed when heading to the polls

Business Insider•Oct 10, 2024

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Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

59%