Question

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

median 70.0%mean 66.0%

Authors:

Mellaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Large Magellanic Cloud

Multi-messenger astronomy

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

0.1%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Mellaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Large Magellanic Cloud

Multi-messenger astronomy

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First close-up image of a star beyond our galaxy may reveal impending supernova

CNN•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

0.1%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%