Question

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction70% (61% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Mellaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Large Magellanic Cloud

Multi-messenger astronomy

Are You Looking Back In Time When You Look At The Stars?

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Two stars may be orbiting each other near a supermassive black hole in our Milky Way galaxy

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Twin Stars Spotted Orbiting Near Milky Way's Supermassive Black Hole

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

0.1%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Mellaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Large Magellanic Cloud

Multi-messenger astronomy

Are You Looking Back In Time When You Look At The Stars?

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Two stars may be orbiting each other near a supermassive black hole in our Milky Way galaxy

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Twin Stars Spotted Orbiting Near Milky Way's Supermassive Black Hole

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

0.1%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

68.5%

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

Comments

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?