Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

13
11
Total Forecasters54
Community Prediction70% (61% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 70%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Mellaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Natural Sciences
Astronomy
Physics
Astrophysics
Betelgeuse
Milky Way
SN 1987A
Large Magellanic Cloud
Multi-messenger astronomy

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