Question

Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

median 70.0%mean 66.0%

Authors:

Mellaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Large Magellanic Cloud

Multi-messenger astronomy

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

0.1%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Mellaculus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Large Magellanic Cloud

Multi-messenger astronomy

First close-up image of a star beyond our galaxy may reveal impending supernova

CNN•Nov 21, 2024

In Photos: The First Close-Up Of A Star Outside Our Galaxy

Forbes•Nov 21, 2024

First-Ever Detailed Image of a Star Outside Milky Way—and It Could Explode

Newsweek•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?

0.1%

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

20%