Question

Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of homicide by June 1 2021?

Resolved :Yes

254 comments254

Total Forecasters281

Community Prediction60%

Make a Prediction

community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-20.7

Community Peer Score

19.1

median 60.0%mean 60.4%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Manslaughter (United States law)

Minneapolis

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76%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Manslaughter (United States law)

Minneapolis

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Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2025-12-16

Will there be legal consequences for Peter Murrell's involvement in the Scottish National Party's financial irregularities?

76%