Question

Will San Francisco issue a health order banning all restaurant indoor dining anytime between 2021-07-01 and 2021-12-31?

Resolved :No

32 comments32

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.7

Community Peer Score

5.3

median 25.0%mean 28.6%

Authors:

GustavoLacerda

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

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Authors:

GustavoLacerda

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Newsom-approved cannabis cafes in Calif. would be an ‘absolute disaster,’ celeb chef says

New York Post•Oct 8, 2024

NYC's outdoor dining boom really is coming to an end

New York Post•Oct 9, 2024

San Francisco is suing the EPA over how specific water pollution permits should be

The Conversation•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?