Question

Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?

58 comments58

Total Forecasters384

Community Prediction

44%

(34% - 51%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 44%

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Mar 19, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 19, 2018

Space

Technology

Venus

European Space Agency

Europe’s first Mars rover will have UK-built lander

Guardian•Mar 29, 2025

SpaceX prepares to launch 4-person crew on first polar orbit mission

New York Post•Mar 27, 2025

Venus to pass between Earth, sun during inferior conjunction. Will you be able to see it?

USA Today•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

May 2071

Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Mar 19, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 19, 2018

Space

Technology

Venus

European Space Agency

Europe’s first Mars rover will have UK-built lander

Guardian•Mar 29, 2025

SpaceX prepares to launch 4-person crew on first polar orbit mission

New York Post•Mar 27, 2025

Venus to pass between Earth, sun during inferior conjunction. Will you be able to see it?

USA Today•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

May 2071

Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

10%

MetaculusM

Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?

Make a Prediction

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

Comments

When will the first human mission to Venus take place?

Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?

Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.