Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?

Resolved :No36%
4
9
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction36% (23% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 36%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
30.0
Community Peer Score
-1.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
DanielG
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
Brazil
Michel Temer
Social Security debate in the United States

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