Question

Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved?

Resolved :No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction36%

Make a Prediction

community: 36%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

30.0

Community Peer Score

-1.5

median 36.0%mean 32.9%

Authors:

DanielG

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Brazil

Michel Temer

Social Security debate in the United States

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

40%

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DanielG

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Brazil

Michel Temer

Social Security debate in the United States

Social Security’s scheduled cost of living increase ‘won’t make a dent’ for some retirees

Associated Press•Oct 9, 2024

Social Security is due for another cost of living increase, it ‘won’t make a dent’ for some retirees

PBS NewsHour•Oct 9, 2024

Social Security cost-of-living benefits increase announcement coming Thursday

Associated Press•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Alexandre de Moraes cease to be a minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before 2026?

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Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Will President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva be reelected as Brazil's president in October of 2026?

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