Question
How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?
Resolved :1.94k1.98kTotal Forecasters31
Community Prediction1.98k (1.87k - 2.1k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <500 | 0.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.872k | — |
| median | 1.976k | — |
| upper 75% | 2.098k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6k | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?1.94k
Community Baseline Score
57.4
Community Peer Score
6.5
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
