Question

How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?

Resolved :1.94k

5 comments5

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction1.98k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<500

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>6k

...

0.8%

1.872k

1.976k

2.098k

0.2%

What was the final result?1.94k

Community Baseline Score

57.4

Community Peer Score

6.5

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees

European Union

Mediterranean Sea

How many irregular immigrant entries to Spain will be reported for the year 2024 by the Spanish Ministry of Interior?

57.4k

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

2e10e122

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees

European Union

Mediterranean Sea

Italy’s hard-right government set to send sea migrants to Albania in bid to curb arrivals

CNN•Oct 9, 2024

75 migrants are rescued from a crippled boat crossing from North Africa to Europe

Associated Press•Oct 11, 2024

75 Migrants Rescued From Smuggler Boat on Way to Europe

Breitbart•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many irregular immigrant entries to Spain will be reported for the year 2024 by the Spanish Ministry of Interior?

57.4k