Question

How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?

Resolved :7692.1

29 comments29

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction92.1 (50.7 - 153)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

50.72

92.05

153.5

0.2%

What was the final result?76

Community Baseline Score

79.1

Community Peer Score

12.9

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Authors:

kalos

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Florida agriculture hit with $190M losses from Hurricane Milton

Associated Press•Dec 21, 2024

Farmers are still reeling months after Hurricane Helene ravaged crops across the South

Associated Press•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

57%

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

kalos

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Florida agriculture hit with $190M losses from Hurricane Milton

Associated Press•Dec 21, 2024

Farmers are still reeling months after Hurricane Helene ravaged crops across the South

Associated Press•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

57%

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%