Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?

Resolved :No14%
4
11
Total Forecasters61
Community Prediction14% (10% - 18%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 14%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
18.3
Community Peer Score
14.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
chipsie
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
Israel
Knesset

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