Question

Will an anthropogenic disaster happen in China before one happens in India?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

median 50.0%mean 49.9%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

India

List of wars and anthropogenic disasters by death toll

China

Why Risky Wildfire Zones Have Been Increasing Around the World

Time•Nov 9, 2024

Meet The 50-Year Flower That Causes A Famine In This World Region Every Time It Blooms

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

China Will Have Four Nuclear Powered Aircraft Carriers by 2035

•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

15%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

India

List of wars and anthropogenic disasters by death toll

China

Why Risky Wildfire Zones Have Been Increasing Around the World

Time•Nov 9, 2024

Meet The 50-Year Flower That Causes A Famine In This World Region Every Time It Blooms

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

China Will Have Four Nuclear Powered Aircraft Carriers by 2035

•Nov 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

15%

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%