MetaculusM

Question

Will an anthropogenic disaster happen in China before one happens in India?

6

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction50% (47% - 58%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 11, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2200

List of wars and anthropogenic disasters by death toll

India Faces Looming Population Challenge

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Weather agency says China experienced hottest year on record in 2024

Al Jazeera•Jan 27, 2025

Chinese and Indian diplomats call for warmer relations but make no public mention of border dispute

Associated Press•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 11, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2200

List of wars and anthropogenic disasters by death toll

India Faces Looming Population Challenge

Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

Weather agency says China experienced hottest year on record in 2024

Al Jazeera•Jan 27, 2025

Chinese and Indian diplomats call for warmer relations but make no public mention of border dispute

Associated Press•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch