Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023?

Resolved :No58%
17
51
Total Forecasters109
Community Prediction58% (54% - 63%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 58%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-42.2
Community Peer Score
22.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
TeeJayKay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Matt Gaetz
US House of Representatives
Newsmax
US Department of Justice

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