Question
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters79
Community Prediction
51%
(40% - 60%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
-80.7
Community Peer Score
12.5
Authors:
Opened:Nov 10, 2015
Closes:Feb 15, 2016
Resolves:Dec 1, 2017
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 12, 2015
What will be the cost of sequencing a whole human genome in 2026 (in 2021 USD)?
118
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?
76%
If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?
189k
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Nov 10, 2015
Closes:Feb 15, 2016
Resolves:Dec 1, 2017
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 12, 2015
What will be the cost of sequencing a whole human genome in 2026 (in 2021 USD)?
118
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?
76%
If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?
189k