Question

Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?

Resolved :No

72 comments72

Total Forecasters92

Community Prediction44%

Make a Prediction

community: 44%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

9.9

Community Peer Score

17.5

median 44.0%mean 41.5%

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citizen

Opened:

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Resolves:

War in Afghanistan (2001–present)

Osama bin Laden

Arlington County, Virginia

SEAL Team Six

United States

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

45%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

NATO Troops in Ukraine by 2027? → Conflict of Russia and NATO State by 2027?

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