Question
How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction3.96 (-1.94 - 14.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-50 | 4.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -1.936 | — |
| median | 3.961 | — |
| upper 75% | 14.75 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50 | 5.7% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
